Thursday, October 16, 2008

how internet growth in the range of 2016-2025

Immersive Virtual-Reality Worlds-2020
People will spend a large amount of time in virtual-reality worlds in which they will compete, socialize, relax, be entertained and do business by the year 2020. British Telecom futurologist Ian Pearson says immersive computer-generated environments will give people "a life-size, 3-D image and the links to your nervous system allow you to shake hands, it's like being in the other person's office. It's impossible to believe that won't be the normal way of communicating." By 2005, GeoSim, based in Israel, was thoroughly digitizing detail about major cities - see the rendering of Philadelphia above.
Virtual reality may come to mean more to some people than our first reality, and this could generate a number of problems for humankind, especially because it will become prevalent and compelling at a time in our history when humans may actually be under threat of their own inventions. Due to the confluence of nanotechnology, robotics and genetic breakthroughs there is a possibility that control of the world may be shifting toward artificially intelligent entities. Humans have to be on their toes, and not lounging in some virtual paradise.
Ubiquitous Robots -2020
Futurists and technology experts say robots and artificial intelligence of various sorts will become an accepted part of daily life by the year 2020 and will almost completely take over physical work. Our society will become a care economy. Robots will take over the physical jobs, they will evolve to be smarter than humans, and they are expected to be granted their own set of rights by 2020. Futurologist Ian Pearson projects that robots will be fully conscious, with superhuman levels of intelligence, by this time.
"Consciousness is just another sense, effectively, and that's what we're trying to design in a computer," he told The Observer, a UK newspaper, in 2005. He added that this could make it possible to program "emotional" machines, such as airplanes that are afraid of crashing.
The image above shows a nano-size electric motor created at Berkeley Lab in 2005. Attach wings or legs, and it could be as fast and nimble as a housefly. (Picture courtesy Zettl Research Group.)
Some futurists say humans will increase their intellects to keep up with their creations, others are concerned that the acceleration of technology will outrun humans' ability to keep pace. It is possible that by 2020 supercomputers and the enhancement of human intelligence through brain downloads or implants will allow humans to be equal or superior to artificial-intelligence entities.
No matter how it goes, as robots become more developed and human-like it will be necessary to adjust to the way in which such entities will fit within our social systems.
Emotion-Control Devices -2020
Experts say psychopaths and criminals could be "cured" with the development of emotion-control devices by 2020. The devices will be placed in the areas of the brain that make these people different and help them to lead more normal, productive lives.
Paint-On Power Generation -2025
Scientists say it is quite likely that developments in nanotechnology and the science of coatings will yield nano solar cells - each just a billionth of a meter in diameter. They will be sensitive enough to generate power from any light source - even infrared light that can be found indoors - and they will be painted or sprayed onto surfaces everywhere to provide a power source.
These inexpensive electricity-generating surfaces can keep our many digital devices fully charged without any effort on our part.
Holographic Television -2025
It is expected that by 2025 or sooner humans will be able to watch three-dimensional programming, suspended in mid-air and delivering entertainment, informational and educational programs. Sporting events and film actors will seem to appear in the middle of your living room as if they were standing there in real life. It's also expected that humans will be able to make themselves characters in their favorite sporting events or films.

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